Despite market uncertainty, rising tariffs, and wavering EV demand, the retail automotive buy-sell market remains resilient in 2025. On today’s episode of CBT Now, Ryan Kerrigan, Managing Director at Kerrigan Advisors, joins us to share exclusive insights on deal flow, investor sentiment, consumer behavior, and how regulatory shifts could impact the industry.
“2025 is tracking ahead of 2024 in terms of total transaction activity,” Kerrigan said, pointing to the continued demand from dealers seeking to scale operations.
“I think we’re going to finish this year with over 450 transactions.” - Ryan Kerrigan
While the pace of platform-level acquisitions has slowed due to the high cost of capital, smaller regional and local deals have driven much of the activity. According to Kerrigan, these transactions now represent the “meat and potatoes” of today’s buy-sell environment. Publicly traded groups remain acquisitive but are proceeding more selectively.
Kerrigan pointed out that consumers likely rushed to buy new vehicles in the first half of 2025 to avoid higher prices from tariffs on imported cars and parts, suggesting that the recent increase in sales may be temporary. The sales rate may soften in the second half of the year, especially if affordability continues to deteriorate.
In the electric vehicle market, Kerrigan said buyer interest has cooled significantly in the U.S., with hybrids regaining popularity. Internationally, Chinese manufacturers are leading EV adoption, compared to the pullback among U.S. consumers. He notes that the global EV sales are “just shy of 20% of global auto sales and continues to grow.”
Further, Kerrigan addresses growing legal and regulatory challenges, including pressures on state franchise laws. For instance, the Alliance for Automotive Innovation recently called on the Department of Justice (DOJ) to examine state protections that some argue restrict automakers’ flexibility. While legislative changes remain uncertain, Kerrigan said manufacturers are increasingly questioning how to best evolve within the current structure.
However, despite macroeconomic headwinds, Kerrigan said the franchise model remains “durable and attractive” to investors, especially given its consistent cash flow and operational resilience.
Nonetheless, Kerrigan Advisors expects continued strength in dealership M&A through the rest of 2025, with interest likely to rise further if the Federal Reserve lowers rates later this year.
Kerrigan Advisors is the leading sell-side advisor and thought partner to auto dealers nationwide. Since its founding in 2014, the firm has led the industry with the sale of more than 295 dealerships generating more than $9 billion in client proceeds, including two of the largest transactions in auto retail history – the sale of Jim Koons Automotive Companies to Asbury Automotive Group and Leith Automotive to Holman. The firm advises the industry’s leading dealership groups, enhancing value through the lifecycle of growing, operating and, when the time is right, selling their businesses. Led by a team of veteran industry experts with backgrounds in investment banking, private equity, accounting, finance and real estate. Kerrigan Advisors is the only firm in auto retail exclusively dedicated to sell-side advisory, providing its clients the assurance of a conflict-free approach.
Kerrigan Advisors monitors conditions in the buy/sell market and publishes an in-depth analysis each quarter in The Blue Sky Report®, the industry authority on dealership buy/sell market trends and valuations and includes Kerrigan Advisors’ signature blue sky charts, multiples and analysis for each franchise in the luxury and non-luxury segments. To download a preview of the report, click here. The firm also releases The Kerrigan Index™ comprised of the seven publicly traded auto retail companies with operations focused on the US market. The Kerrigan Auto Retail Index is designed to track dealership valuation trends, while also providing key insights into factors influencing auto retail. To access The Kerrigan Index™, click here. To read the 2024 Kerrigan Dealer Survey, click here. To read the 2025 Kerrigan OEM Survey, click here. Kerrigan Advisors also is the co-author of NADA’s Guide to Buying and Selling a Dealership.
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